In
the 2013 financial year the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index rose by 21.90%.
This was the market's best result since the 2007 financial year.
The
global settings have in general been positive despite concerns over when
central bank stimulus might be removed, whether China can manage an economic
slowdown and lingering concerns over Europe's economic woes. Here in Australia
positive returns have come despite an economic slowdown which has seen the
Reserve Bank of Australia continue to loosen monetary policy and the Australian
Dollar weaken. Confidence measures have not generally improved despite the more
benign interest rate and currency backdrop, however it is hoped that the
upcoming federal election may lead to a pick up towards the end of the calendar
year.
The
US economy continues to rebound led by a recovering housing market, cheap
energy and a steadily improving employment picture. China, whilst albeit
growing more slowly, is still set to deliver around 7% GDP growth and the ECB
remains committed to doing "whatever it takes" to hold the euro zone
together.
Domestically,
equity valuations remain slightly below long-term averages and with attractive
yield characteristics. Further interest rate cuts remain a possibility,
political uncertainty should be removed later this year post election, and
corporate balance sheets are in good shape and the weakening Australian Dollar
should provide a tailwind to many.
Indices:
The
Australian All Ordinaries Index has moved up increasing +1.0%
since closing last Friday to 3:00 pm today.
The
rest of the world as measured by the MSCI index increased +4.4%
in A$ from closing last Friday to end of trade Thursday.
Have
a great weekend,
The Team at IPS
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